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Probability

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Probability
Order of the Stick comic
OOTS0182
Comic no. 182
Date published 17 May 2005
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"Cursing the Darkness" "Spit and/or Swallow"
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Vaarsuvius comes up with a plan, but there are some flaws in it.

Cast Edit

Transcript Edit

Panel 1

The black dragon blasts the Order with its acid breath.
Elan: Gonna wake up any second now.

Panel 2

Vaarsuvius: There is a part of me—a not inconsequential part, I might add—that is greatly enjoying watching this dragon mop the proverbial floor with my neglectful colleagues here.

Panel 3

Black Dragon: These stupid humanoids are your allies??
Vaarsuvius: You... can understand my speech?

Panel 4

Black Dragon: Well yes. My mom taught me Lizard, said it was important to study other cultures.
Vaarsuvius: Fascinating.

Panel 5

Vaarsuvius: In that case...
Vaarsuvius: Suggestion!

Panel 6

Black Dragon: No.
Vaarsuvius: Suggestion!

Panel 7

Black Dragon: My willpower is too strong to be broken by such an enchantment.
Vaarsuvius: You will still roll a natural 1 on your Will save eventually.
Vaarsuvius: Suggestion!

Panel 8

Vaarsuvius: I have a Ring of Wizardry, no other spells above third level prepared, and nothing better to do with my actions.
Vaarsuvius: The laws of probability dictate that you will fail a Will save before I run out of Suggestion spells.
Vaarsuvius: Suggestion!

Panel 9

Black Dragon: Clever.
Black Dragon: However, there's one number you've failed to include in your analysis.

Panel 10

The black dragon bites Vaarsuvius.
Black Dragon: Your hit point total.

D&D Context Edit

  • Suggestion is a 3rd-level Wizard spell that hypnotizes a character if they fail a Will save.
  • The black dragon is making his Will save to negate the spell.
  • A "natural 1" means rolling "1" on a 20-sided dice before any of your character modifiers are added.
  • A Ring of Wizardry doubles the number of spells for a single spell level a magic user can cast per day.
  • Hit points measure how much damage a character or creature can take. V in lizard form has very few.
  • Vaarsuvius is probably 11th level and had 22 intelligence at the time of this strip. V could have had as many as 18 Suggestion spells prepared,[discuss] including the increased spells from the Ring of Wizardry and the fact that casters can fill a higher level spell slot with a lower level spell.

Trivia Edit

External Links Edit

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